Research & Evidence
The Caelus evidence library begins with published public records, methods and institutional standards. New work is labelled by what it is and what its evidence can support.
Browse published evidenceA national poll, a town hall, a research brief and an editorial argument answer different questions. Caelus names those differences rather than allowing one form of evidence to borrow authority from another.
Method, funding, limitations and corrections belong beside the conclusion.
Published evidence
These records and standards are available now. Public records document a convening; they do not claim to represent the whole country.
Public record
What citizens, practitioners and public leaders said Kenya's next national vision must guarantee—and what Vision 2030 leaves unresolved.
Public record
A public discussion on sovereign borrowing, debt justice, fiscal accountability and who ultimately absorbs the cost of public finance decisions.
Public record
County accountability, citizen safety, economic pressure and the political road to 2027, documented from a full public town hall.
Method note
The public-convening model behind each forum: establish the evidence, test it in public and preserve a record beyond the event.
Institutional standard
The boundaries governing methods, funding, commercial relationships, editorial work, limitations and the Caelus name.
Methods
Four commitments covering question design, transparent measurement, careful interpretation and accessible publication.
Evidence labels
Representative survey evidence, published with sampling, fieldwork dates, question wording and limitations.
A documented account of a convening. It captures the room but is not presented as representative public opinion.
Focused analysis drawing on stated sources, methods and expert interpretation.
A maintained record of documented events, commitments or institutional performance.
An identified author's interpretation, separate from an institutional research finding.
In development
These are active programme notes attached to scheduled public work. They will become research products only when their methods and outputs are complete.
Programme note
A forthcoming public conversation about what Kenyan politics costs, who funds a campaign and who is harmed by one.
Programme note
The foundation for a Citizens' Demand Sheet and a practical framework for testing 2027 manifestos against public priorities.
